By Jeremy Brunner
Last week: 1-1(50%)
Against-the-Spread:1-1(50%)
Playoff Total:7-3(70%)
Playoff ATS: 7-2(77%)
Lock-of-the-Week: 3-0(100%)
Well that was dissapointing. As a Packer fan, I'd hate for Brett Favre's career to end with him laying a egg in the NFC Title Game. But the Giants were better all day, they deserved to win. Now the Patriots really didn't deserve to win, with Tom Brady throwing three picks. But the banged-up Chargers couldn't get anything going either. I wonder if they would have been better served with Billy Volek at QB, I think he's almost as good as Rivers when both are healthy. And with Rivers limping, I would have gone with Volek. Enough second guessing.
New England(16-0) vs. NY Giants(11-5)
The line on this game as of now is Pats -11.5. It started(in some places) at 14. That is quite a move for just two days of action. As is tradition with every year, I will make my prediction in way too much detail. If you want to skip the blow-by-blow, go to the very end to get my pick.
1st Quarter
The Patriots strike first. Brady finds Kevin Faulk out of the backfield for a 10 yard touchdown. They also strike second. New England quickly gets the ball back and Faulk scores his second T.D. of the day on a 97 yard run. The Giants cut into that 14-0 deficit, on a 3 yard touchdown pass from Manning to Amani Toomer. A Pats penalty on the XP leads to a Brandon Jacobs 2 point conversion to make it 14-8. Then the Giants get on the board again, this time Eli looks deep and finds Plexico Burress for a 55 yard score. It ends up as the highest scoring first quarter in postseason history. Giants 15, Pats 14
2nd Quarter
The defenses finally settle in. The Giants slow down the New England offense and hold them to a field goal on the first drive. New York gets its only score of the quarter on a 36 yard T.D. scamper by Brandon Jacobs. Just before the half, Tom Brady runs a vintage final minute drive to set up another field goal. Giants 22, Pats 20
3rd Quarter
Another good quarter for the defenses. A long punt return sets up a field goal for the Giants, but that is all. Tom Caughlin's face finally thaws out from the Frozen Tundra. Giants 25, Pats 20
4th Quarter
The offenses continue to struggle, but late in the game the Pats get the ball and you know what that means. Tom Brady leads New England down the field quickly, a little too quickly. Brady finds Wes Welker behind the defense for a 48 yard touchdown. But he leaves Eli Manning and the Giants 1:41 to retake the lead. Fortunately for the Pats, Eli remembers he is Eli, and quickly throws the game-killing interception.
And since its the only game its my Take-it-to-Wendover-Lock-of-the-Week: Pats 27, Giants(+11.5) 25
Agree/Disagree? Post below.