Last week: 1-1(50%)
Against the spread: 1-1(50%)
Playoff total: 7-3(70%)
Playoff ATS: 2-6(25%)
Super Bowl XLI:
Chicago(13-3) vs. Indianapolis(12-4)
The big game has a big spread. The very flawed Colts are giving 7 points against the also flawed Bears. All of this springs from Rex Grossman, who I've started to refer to as the walking question mark. Yet for all his shortcomings, Rex hasn't been bad in the playoffs. Grossman has done a good job of managing games, and not making the dumb mistakes he was prone to in the regular season. The Bears have protected him, and kept him from needing to do too much. In the Super Bowl, he will have to do more. The Colts have two weeks to game plan and dissect the Chicago offense. They will have the line stacked against Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson, so it will all fall on Rex. And since we don't have a time machine, I will tell you exactly how this game will play out.
1st Quarter:
The Colts strike first. They stroll right down the field and set up Adam Vinatieri for the short field goal. And after a Bears three-and-out they drive again. But this time Peyton Manning gets picked off. A deep ball in the seam towards Dallas Clark is intercepted by Danieal Manning. Rex Grossman is unable to capitalize, he overthrows two balls into the stands. Another Colts drive leads to another field goal to make the score 6-zip. The Bears finally get on the board on their next drive. Former BYU star Gabe Reid catches a deep ball to set up a field goal for Chicago. The Bears defense stops the Colts offense and sets up another short field for Rex and company. This time, Chicago gets rolling on the ground and scores on a 6 yard run by Thomas Jones. Bears 10, Colts 6
2nd Quarter:
The Colts strike back quickly. Peyton Manning dissects the Bears defense, and then finds little used Aaron Morehead for a 5-yard touchdown strike. Then Indy gets the ball right back and scores again when Manning hits Reggie Wayne for a 7-yard TD pass. The Colts take a 20-10 lead. Chicago strikes back, on a 4-yard touchdown from Grossman to Bernard Berrion. Then, the Bears defense starts to gives Manning the shakes, his happy feet lead to a three-and-out, leading to a Chicago field goal in the two minute drill to tie the score. The Colts offense stumbles again and Tony Dungy is guilty of some awful clock management. The Bears get the ball back and a suddenly confident Rex Grossman leads Chicago on another quick drive. Bears 23, Colts 20
3rd Quarter:
Two defenses that are supposed to be stellar finally look that way. It is a tough quarter to be a QB, both Manning and Grossman take some big hits and make some bad throws. But both avoid costly turnovers, setting up the potential for a fantastic finish. The most interesting thing to happen in the third quarter is the Super Bowl Ads. Budweiser leads the way as usual. Although I truly miss the Bud Bowl, a life changing experience. R.I.P. Bud Bowl R.I.P. .Bears 23, Colts 20
4th Quarter:
The Colts pick up the pace with a long drive. Joseph Addai breaks out of the scrum with a 37 yard touchdown run to put Indianapolis in front. Then another ugly Bears possession gives Indy a chance to put it away. The Colts get stopped on three straight plays from inside the one. They kick the field goal on fourth down to go up 30-23. Chicago responds with their best drive of the game. The Bears take it from their own ten all the way down the field, then Grossman hits Berrion for his second touchdown of the game from 24 yards out to tie the score with five minutes left. Down the stretch, both Grossman and Manning get the wobbly knees again, and no serious drives are mounted. We are headed to overtime in a Super Bowl for the first time ever. Bears 30, Colts 30
Overtime:
The Colts win the toss, and while Jim Nance works on one of his awful end-of-the-game lines(a Championship for the Colts, a title for Tony, etc.), the unthinkable happens. On a third and long from their own 15, Peyton Manning gets drilled by Adewale Ogunleye, the ball flies loose, Brian Urlacher scoops it up and dances into the end zone. Game over. And since its the only game, its automatically the take-it-to-Wendover-game-of-the-week: Bears 36, Colts 30(OT)
Will it happen this way? Probably not. I fully expect a huge blowout after the title games were so good. But I've got to dream, don't I?
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